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Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast
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- Опубліковано 16 вер 2022
- Ray Kurzweil is an author, inventor, and futurist. Please support this podcast by checking out our sponsors:
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EPISODE LINKS:
Ray's Website: kurzweilai.net
Ray's Books:
The Singularity Is Nearer (pre-order): amzn.to/3BNXmGR
How To Create A Mind: amzn.to/3qqlkBw
The Singularity Is Near: amzn.to/3DfXP5z
The Age of Spiritual Machines: amzn.to/3RSjtAX
Danielle: amzn.to/3Bww2N7
Transcend: amzn.to/3RAEYGV
PODCAST INFO:
Podcast website: lexfridman.com/podcast
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RSS: lexfridman.com/feed/podcast/
Full episodes playlist: • Lex Fridman Podcast
Clips playlist: • Lex Fridman Podcast Clips
OUTLINE:
0:00 - Introduction
1:06 - Turing test
14:51 - Brain-computer interfaces
26:31 - Singularity
32:51 - Virtual reality
35:31 - Evolution of information processing
41:57 - Automation
51:57 - Nanotechnology
53:51 - Nuclear war
55:57 - Uploading minds
1:03:38 - How to think
1:10:08 - Digital afterlife
1:19:28 - Intelligent alien life
1:22:18 - Simulation hypothesis
1:26:31 - Mortality
1:34:10 - Meaning of life
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Here are the timestamps. Please check out our sponsors to support this podcast.
0:00 - Introduction & sponsor mentions:
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- Linode: linode.com/lex to get $100 free credit
- MasterClass: masterclass.com/lex to get 15% off
- Indeed: indeed.com/lex to get $75 credit
1:06 - Turing test
14:51 - Brain-computer interfaces
26:31 - Singularity
32:51 - Virtual reality
35:31 - Evolution of information processing
41:57 - Automation
51:57 - Nanotechnology
53:51 - Nuclear war
55:57 - Uploading minds
1:03:38 - How to think
1:10:08 - Digital afterlife
1:19:28 - Intelligent alien life
1:22:18 - Simulation hypothesis
1:26:31 - Mortality
1:34:10 - Meaning of life
Thank you very much Lex 🙏
Thank you for your channel & guide.
Thanks, Lex, for this wonderful weekend treat! ❤
is that a wig?
When Singularity is Near came out in 2005 (and for many years later), Ray's ideas seemed fringe, if not absurd to most people, including computer scientists. I always admired his optimism though and wished that his predictions were fulfilled. Now, with the phenomenal advances in AI, the more advanced it gets, the more respected is Ray, because he was right from the beginning. It seems that now not so many people are ready to laugh off Ray's predictions... Glad to see he's getting the credit he deserves.
It's going so fast now. I have my jaw dropped every few months. I didn't discount the man back then. I hoped against all hope, and still do. I want him to be right. I mean, i watch company reps testifying before congress on how AI needs to be regulated just the other day.
@MikeGamerGuy That congressional hearing was profound in the sense that you rarely see such companies asking for more oversight. We truly are living in an incredible period of history.
I read that book in 2005, been preaching it ever since. Laughed at by my circles, and now... 2023 the year in which AI became mainstream. Kurzweil was no joke. dude was so on top of things.
@wwlittlejOfficial i read his amazing book too in 2007, I believed him completely, but I knew humans were not even aware or prepared for this, so i decided to keep silent all these years. Still, in 2023, technology "coaches and gurus" think they will control the future AGI and ASI upcoming just like another tool 😙🫠 ohh honey they are so sweet and innocent🤭 but they are needed to calm down people because Singularity gonna be a really Intense event.
Too late
This is the first time I hear you, Lex, and you are an impressive, thoughtful and educated foil for Ray Kurzweil, whom I have followed for decades. You are both respectfully reserved in your questions to Ray and his ideas, while pushing against sensitive barriers we humans naturally have - bravo on that balance. While I have totally lost respect for most main stream journalists and media, I am thrilled to see a glimmer of non-sensational, non politicized integrity here. Please keep up this level of integrity, to do otherwise diminishes us all. Thank you so much for this work.
666
Well said!!
Long time follower of Ray Kurzweil myself. I always imagined it (tech singularity) but listening to him talk in this interview with Lex brings it to life on a whole new level. Like listening gave me the strongest mixed feeling of fear, awe, & wonder, like we will be living this soon. So surreal.
I’m pretty sure Lex is not human and he is making it apparent by fucking with this dude Ray amongst many others.
Why doesn’t Lex “freed” “man” ever appear sitting next to any other human being? Is he perhaps the software we are expecting to consider hardware that possesses the capability to complete the Turing test? This interviewer has a subject that is clearly motivated by his fear of death. How would Lex react to a subject that has no fear of death or no subjective experience of time that relates to the collective who are excited by fear before they actually experience it. Upon hearing that they should be afraid they are. Without question. Lex, I am not any of those people. I am Not people. Death is nothing. Life is death. If this dude was able to become immortal which is what he is ultimately after, how would it play out if we took the view of a futurist? Conquers planets and their resources while murdering billions and trillions of lives here in what we know as earth. Total control of the earth and its ultimate power source, the sun, moves on to control the power of several suns. Several galaxies, several universes. They will never escape the inescapable fact that those who seek power are the least deserving of wielding it.
Had chills the other day remembering this guys predictions and catching up on the latest in AI development recently. No matter how otherworldly his predictions seemed I now believe he is underestimating how quickly this change is going to hit us.
Even Ray Kurzweil predictions looks slow now, and that guy is a Genius.
I read articles in about 2000, in which one Liam Lacey speculated on modern man’s dilemma or ability to adjust to life in the year 1000 if suddenly transported there. His conclusion was that it would not be terribly difficult. But then another writer, Spider ( Spyder?) something - forgot his last name - speculated in kind on modern man if planted suddenly in the year 3000. His conclusion was it would be impossible. No surprise there. And the kicker was that a main change would not be gradual, but rather occur within 50 years. So 2000 plus 50 - by 2050. In other words, about the same as predicted by Ray Kurzweil.
I wish I could get a hold of that writing. If anyone, by chance knows, please comment, thanks.
What if Ray is from the future and is actually the sentient AI?😅 sometimes his voice sounds like that a little bit. Loved this episode so much. Thank you Lex! You are by far the best now.
I love Ray. I watched everything with him, and have seen him repeat himself a lot. His work is amazing, but he tends to do that. This interview really brought out a lot of interesting ideas and aspects to his thinking that I have never heard. Thanks a bunch Lex, you are the best. Literally, the best podcast.
Lex, this is the best your podcast has looked and sounded. Beautiful image quality and lighting.
Agree. Lex looks noticeably more like a human and less like a robot now! (only kidding)
It really is noticeably improved and looks & sounds fantastic.
I agree! Awesome production Lex. 🤘🤘🤘
It's all animation
Yes the sound has improved a lot and the faces are clearer. Perhaps it's easier to simulate replicants than film old-style people?
This guy was my cutting edge expert for a masters computer college paper on voice recognition over 30 years ago--and here he is STILL doing this stuff.
His predictions have been pretty spot on, right?
So lovely Ray how you've honored and preserved the memory of your dad. Serendipity while I was listening to the podcast, my 85 yr old father walked by and stopped to ask me what and who I was listening to. When I told him Ray Kurzweil, he shared his fond memories of visiting your father (his college music professor) on Hartland Ave in Queens Village while you were a small boy... Thanks for the episode!
❤
What an amazing story! Thank you very much for sharing it with us here! ❤
Huh. Small world, as they say.
Seems like he has a heart.. n emotion.. but WHAT HES SAYING.. BRAIN COMPUTER INTERFACES.. could not.. COULD NOT BE MORE ANTI HUMAN.. OR DYSTOPIAN.. changing what it means to be human is SO UTTERLY DISGUSTING.. thEre is NO GREATER ANTI HUMAN agenda. The fact that we would so easily entertain this is A SIGN OF OUR SOCIAL ENGINEERING
@Ela Lamblin
Your a Bot
🤖🤖🤖
Read his book at 17 when it came out. Even though I can't fully agree with this almost religious form of transhumanism, I can't deny that Ray's book has been quite influential for me and the way to think about the future of humanity.
Thanks for all the interesting guests, Lex!
I love Ray, he's brilliant and always seems straight up!! Definitely someone on a short list I look up too
Good one Lex! I’ve been aware of Mr. Kurzweil since the 80’s, played his instruments and read his books. Thank you for being you and doing such thoughtful interviews!
What guitars?
@Jason Black Keyboards
This is 96 minutes of Lex trying to get Ray to laugh...and I love it. I watch these podcasts pretty much in order, but this one warranted a skip ahead. Thank you Lex and Ray!
Yep, I have to say. Another 30 minutes or longer would have been easy to watch.
"34:12" lol
@Evan Margol yes I agree I could have listened to much more of this conversation. Lex, give us a day with Ray!
You missed out. Ray is a beautiful soul. He says a lot by not saying too much
Lex, thank you for this excellent piece. Full of humanity, empathy, and great values.
I appreciate Ray and his long standing and so far accurate predictions, and also for his optimism.
I've been following Ray for at least 15 years and I'm really interested to learn what he considers to be "dangerous misinformation" in the age of Covid-19.
Interesting interview, but I didn't learn much that wasn't already discussed by Ray and others back in 2013 at the Global Future 2045 conference in NYC. I think Lex missed an opportunity to get into important specifics like the potential for AI to concentrate power, to disrupt "democracy" (more on that later), and for example to discuss dystopian scenarios being pondered right now like perhaps the elite could dispose of most of the populace and have AI/robots and genetically engineered mentally limited slave labor become their new servants (feels like that might already be in the works now). He also didn't touch on consciousness, regarding the uploading/downloading of one's brain or simulating a human being from a library of their interactions and writings.
Regarding "democracy" (government by the people especially : rule of the majority) otherwise known as "mob rule", perhaps they meant something along the lines of our "constitutional republic" where the rights of the individual are paramount and they were simply conflating that to the simple word "democracy" but I'd expect more exacting language from two people of very high intelligence.
I'm left feeling this interview was sadly a bit superficial, at least for those of us that have already followed Ray and others on these subjects, though maybe a good primer for those who have not. Maybe there will be a follow up where Lex and Ray can get into more of the meat?
Finally, since Ray is working with Google, I'm surprised there weren't any questions about privacy, the perils of multinational multi-billion dollar corporations, big-data, and a discussion of the cons - for example such companies working in coordination with totalitarian states like the CCP, to monitor and control their populations and the ethics of such.
Thanks for reading and considering my comments.
👍👏
Lex your podcast is awsome. Your guest are right up my alley, and your ability to conduct an entertaining and deep interview is superb.
I believe I've just had a revelation about the nature of consciousness while listening to this. I would argue that if you could put it on a tier list that the first stage is consciousness, then sentience, then self awareness. Maybe both self awareness and sentience at the same time in differing scales. I believe the nature of consciousness is simply the ability to give a response. It doesn't have to be intelligible it just needs to be a response. So a rock might have a low level of intelligence if you touch it you're given feedback and information about it. It's rough, its hard, maybe cold. That may be questionable but i would put forward the idea that even a person who is babbling nonsensically would be considered conscious even if not necessarily self aware of their actions. Sentience, i would propose is the ability to self-initiate without being prompted to respond with a question first. Self awareness is the ability to identify oneself. Pretty self explanatory.
Lex, you are the goat of week-to-week, even day-to-day, epic guest bookings! Most remarkable, also, is the way you, comfortably, intelligently, respectfully, and even playfully, engage with each guest. Keep it up brother!
amen
I''ve read most of Ray's books and just watching this, I'm learning so much more. Incredible!!
I have really enjoyed both of these people for many years. Ray is in some serious physical decline. I hope that changes for him. Longer life needs some more progress and I hope the current research can help Ray. With all that said he's not wrong. I just hope he makes it.
@lexfridman your interview style shows so much respect and care for your guest work and life. WE NEED MORE OF THAT IN THIS WORLD! we appreciate you brother!--- np
Hey lex, I know you know this, but excellent interview! I could relisten to it quite a few more times, and it baffles me how you can consolidate so many informed questions in a tight conversation like this.
I hope Ray can make it to the Singularity. What a great mind.
This is possibly my favorite episode so far, I listened to the entire thing and was left wishing it was twice as long. Definitely in my top 3.
which are the other two?
What are the other two?
Where are the other two?
The other 2?
I think Joscha Bach has been his most fascinating guest ;)
Lex, I wanted to comment that your conversations, especially prescient on AI, are good because you know how to listen and gently push conversants.
The pods are immensely useful seeding much needed public grasp of what the hell is going on with the major social AI tech edge NOW.
It matters. A lot.
Grazie mille.
Excellent interview - both of you were tremendously interesting - many many thanks!!! I have a Kurzweil K2500 keyboard that has been part of my music since I bought it when it first came out. I didn't have a computer, so I programmed it using its buttons and small screen - so much, that I had to have the circuits eventually replaced - I had over worked them. But the most amazing thing was that I often felt that the keyboard anticipated and executed the moves I wanted - I wonder if Ray had built some AI into that magical instrument. I have read two of his books, and will read the next one when I can find it.
My biggest fear is that the "merger" is going to be fueled by hardware stamped with corporate logos. The trust of giving someone the kind of direct access to your personal information is terrifying without some degree of certainty or guarantee of control.
It became very evident to me listening to Ray speak that a lot of his motivation and interest in the Singularity seems to be driven not by a fear of mortality but by personal loss. He hopes to manifest a future that will save others from that pain and suffering by restoring or preserving some form those loved ones. A noble motivation indeed.
May be a noble attempt but not a noble act. I feel bad for his lack of faith
@Mike Jones care to go into some detail there?
@Trippy Trading Cards lmao
Incredible insights and perspectives from Mr. Kurzweil, There is hope for being human albeit enhanced. Great interview.
Lex you’re a legend for bringing this man to a podcast, can’t think of anyone else who could pull this off!
It honestly makes me sad that Ray will probably just miss out on seeing his own ultimate prediction come to pass.
I have thought of this too. Hopefully not, but the day may occur when it is announced that he has passed. I will pause and and have a moment of deep sadness.
I love Lex so much. Thank you for what you're doing for the humanity, Lex. ❤
This needs to be revisited as AI is advancing faster than it can be reported on almost now.
Lex you are knocking it out of the park !!! Amazing podcast
Amazing video! For me, to be able to listen to great minds about the ways of the world, is truly meaningful.
Ray Kurzweil is one of the best visionaries & futurologists of our time. He even founded Kurzweil Music Systems together with Stevie Wonder & built one of the first digital synthesizers in the 80's.
excellent interview, discussing difficult and subtle concepts, not trivializing any concerns (jobs, disparities, etc.)
I’ve been listening to Kurzweil since I was young. His predictions aren’t always right, but he never fails to get me excited about the future
Lex is a great interviewer. Very interesting and polite.
Always great content!
Best watched at 1.25x speed.
Rather mind blowing interview.
I'm for #ReplicantRights!
So pleased to have just discovered UAclips and this and a few other channels.
The legend himself! Thanks for bringing him on Lex!
It's that guy from the Juice Rap News - Singularity track featuring Alex Jones!
I bet klaus schwab is saying the same..
Kurzweil is an extraordinary person and I sincerely hope that he can live long enough to the point where science can extend it indefinitely. I hope it's nothing, but I had to speed up the video 1.25X to hear him speak at the same pace as before.
Ray is so accurate you kind of wish he would be wrong sometimes.😁
to summarize it all and to add to last words of these great podcast:
The main meaning of life is purpose guided by love. For this time we are living is to love and to be loved.
But if we want to put in one word then it is and it can be only love.
Thank you Lex you are a great man
Ray Kurzweil trailblazed the curiosity of my youth in SciFi turned reality. Awesome guest, Lex.
Great podcast, Lex ! Thank you!
This is the best thing I have seen on UAclips in a long time. Thank you for sharing it with us.
I love that the episode number is #321, like a countdown to the singularity.
That's a good one there - the time frame showcasing its presence.
It's very satisfying 😌
The synchronicity of singularity 😊… as it comes, we should see TONS more of these.
Interesting touch. I wonder what it will feel like when it hits. Perhaps it will literally 'blow our minds', a phrase that seems to originate in the cultural milieu of those bringing this to fruition.
😝!
Man, Lex was actually able to convince him! Is the the first recorded instance of a bot passing the test with a critical human adjudicator?
In 80s and 90s, "the experts" called him mad.
In 2000s they called him eccentric.
Now in 2023 they are listening and taking notes of his mathematical predictions based on the exponential. I hope he can survive to watch his Singularity💪👊
Or maybe Ray has already come from the future, sounds legit for me haha.
What a great interview. You're on form Lex 🙏❤️
Ray changed my life when I discovered him 15 years ago.
Ray Kurzweil on a podcast - wow, only Lex can do it. Thanks so much for your great work, Lex.
he used to give a lot of talks to really small fry media people. I remember one podcast he was on and it only got a few hundred views. That was a long time ago though.
Thanks Lex!
He was also on StarTalk with Neil deGrasse Tyson
I just wish lex would ask him if AI can be racist. From the many videos I've watch of Lex , this was the first time I heard him speak on the concern of AI and the merging of AI tech with biology only being available to the rich. This essentially creating a bigger gap between classes. Poor Vs rich/ human Vs cyborg human. I would like to hear Lex address if machines could be racist and if there is a way to make machines in all their true superiority, Superior in radical empathy and racial acceptance.
That was an amazing conversation.Thank you Lex,your channel is awesome.Cheers from Buenos Aires. Keep up the good work!!
Great conversation as usual, really enjoy this episode.
It’s hard to find anything to say. Wow. I have never been exposed to this type of thing before and found it mind blowing thinking. It’s incredible to know about people like this. Thank you for bringing it to this older man’s attention. Something else to explore. 🇦🇺🇦🇺
Ray really glossed over the economic disparity question. It’s not the lack of dispersion of the technology that causes the economic inequality, it is the ownership of the platforms and data. He answered the question spot on by stating plenty of homeless folks have cell phones.
People believe what they want or fear. We need tools and productivity. Keep work boys. We will deal with this if or when necessary
Truly amazing episodes lately Lex keep up the great work ❤️
Ray has literally been painting the future of humanity / AI and steered it in a direction to go that's a win for mankind. The ultimate projector.
I'd love to hear his thoughts at this length on the LLMs that have burst forth since ChatGPT was released.
There is so much with tech that is being suppressed at the moment. I am still clueless on many aspects of it. Would be interested in hearing more about a lot of the tech that is waiting on the wings.
Gosh if the disaster of the mRNA experimental gene therapy is anything to go by (it should have been pulled long ago based on the level of serious adverse events reported), then using AI / neural nets to assist in medicine breakthroughs needs urgent regulation..
Also I love Ray, and also curious about what’s behind his avoidance of death - the cycle of grieving is such an important part of living and loving fully.
Great interview thanks.
It's a lot to do with losing his father. Say what you will, the avoidance therapies have been working on his hair
I totally agree!
I’m so curious and excited about it. I hope I can make it to 2029 ! Yeah…
Thank You 🙏🏼 I really enjoy your interview with a lots of peI watched fir years and admired.
Thank You 🙏🏼 Lex!
I loved this conversation... thank you Lex ! And Ray !
For the longest time I wanted this conversation, wondering if Ray would come back from his silence with this podcast…and he did. Can’t wait to listen!!!
Same here bro!
Once they start talking about the singularity it starts popping off.
Absolutely, it was along with John Carmack one of those dream shows I've wanted. I've followed Ray all my adult life. Almost every year when I was younger I'd check back in with him. His talks would be relatively the same really but I loved every new insight each talk he gave provided. He went dark in recent years which makes this talk really quite special. I can't wait to read his new book.
This soooo fire!!! I'm excited as well
Kurzweil's track record and optimism is inspiring - solve 1% of a problem and progress becomes exponential
Excellent interview/ video. A great way to “get up to speed” with Ray Kurzweil if you haven’t read his books.
Brilliant interview. Really enjoyed it.
Re: 1:05:00 I used to just think that's how everyone did it but I learned that some people have a very different 'cinema' in their minds - the experiences and expression of creation is a very personal thing. Knowing that now, it has helped me better communicate ideas without as much of a dependency on visuals.
This is an excellent interview. This convinced me to subscribe.
Thank you for making this one. It was well worth the time to listen/watch you and the legendary Ray Kurzweil on a sunny Saturday afternoon.
Amazing interview. Pertinent, insightful questions. Love the jokes too 😂 Why does Ray wear a hair system?
The Singularity was probably the most monumental book I ever read. It changed how I looked at the world forever. Awesome interview!
@noname-sg4xuwell said.
Here is a question ? If computation of information is the pathway to singularity is it still not confined to the mind or brain of a human,the source of all information. An AI is limited in the sense that it can’t go beyond what the human have already discovered. Will an AI go beyond human to discover new invention and start existing independently. I doubt that.
.
What does Ray Kurzweil about the zero-sum game in this multipolar world? Will it affect technology growth? Do you think China and ASEAN will get together to fund research when they are threatened by Western military?
@Rachel B. why do you doubt that? Humans had no source of information 5000 years ago. Now look how much information we've built on top of that. When computers surpass the reasoning ability of humans, they're gonna discover anything that can be discovered at a rapid pace. Human brain isn't that special when it comes to reasoning and learning imo. But when it comes to emotions and consciousness... yeah it's fascinating
Singularity, super intelligence & immortality comes with the core of life that which one needs to crack it ! ☝️
Thanks 🙏
1:15:07 I can’t express how privileged I feel being allowed to sit in on your conversations Lex. You are a true gift!
I've always been very skeptical about Ray's ideas since I first heard them a decade ago. I still am, but at least I've learned enough about the topic to know that I have no idea what I'm talking about now.
I'm always fascinated by the loosening up of the guests during that first 60 min. The answers get more lengthy and articulate. And the guest gradually becomes more engaged and lively. That's gotta be a big part of your success lex.
Unfortunately for this talk we only get another 30 minutes of the good stuff, and then it's over.
The parallel between Ray's answers and Demis Hassabis' to "Are we alone" and "are we in a simulation" were really cool.
This channel is amazing. Keeping it classy and informative. Great work
What an amazing podcast!!! Ive been a Kurzweil fan since buying one of his keyboards back in the early 90s. That keyboard model still holds a special spot in my heart lol. So to be interviewed by awesome Lex is quite the treat!!! WOW! Thank you so much! and I agree with father Kurzweil... LOVE!
Lex is only going to get better in his interviews. The more of these engaging guests he interacts with, more experience, analysis of past interviews, more engaging topics, I feel like by the year 2029, when AI passes the Turing test, and Ray and some other expert guest on the topic comes along, thats going to be a super super interview ...waiting.😏
The man is a maverick, A Ray of optimism ❤
I love this podcast because it helps me learn. Not in the sense that I regurgitate the ideas expressed, but in the sense that many ideas are fuel for two, three hour think sessions where I introspect and ask myself questions. In my attempts to answer my curiosities I find more intriguing questions and thought pathways to explore and grow. For my birthday I would like to have an open philosophy session with Lex. Could be about time travel, the meaning of life, the future of technology, the existence and presence of God, the past as a blueprint for the future, anything. Since becoming a parent, watching my son fight cancer at 4, and my life changing overnight multiple times I have learned that there are very few people who wish to explore the beauty and horror beyond the mundane aspects of life. Lex, you do that in this podcast and I am glad to have found it! Progress is the fruit of curiosity, not of the mere passing of knowledge.
Maybe create a channel and find others to interview and discuss these ideas. And interact with the commenters. When these channels go pro, they stop engaging.
AmaIng interview. Ask the guy questions, let them speak. Well-done, I need more.
I went to the "Computer Learning Center" in 1999 and spoke to the Dean about wanting to pursue A.I - he immediately , and arrogantly returned "A.I is dead, they tried it in the 70's."... Spot on Arlin, spot on...
Thanks Ray for helping to bring about the end of humanity.
He's a very interesting but essentially bizarre character. His obsession with looking young and being young has always struck me as very weird. But I suppose if that's what drives him fair enough.
I loved this episode!
I'm SO glad to see a new interview with Ray! REALLY hope he stays healthy and get to see this stuff happen.. (same goes for myself lol)
I used to question whether his predictions would just keep shifting further out.. But lately things are seeming even more on track for the 2029 date than I ever thought we would be. We're already seeing AI chatbots nearing the ability to pass the Turing-Test, so by 2029 it'll probably be undeniable. I think there's a VERY good chance the 2030s will be seen as 'the decade of the Singularity'.
Right, if we ignore the myriad of growing existential threats that could easily interrupt that technological growth.
@Shithead There have been existential threats in the past, and they haven't interrupted technological growth. Of course, it's up to us to not realise a downturn.
That movie, "Multiplicity," comes to mind, and even entertaining such questions as not purely fiction suggests that we are living in a far more nihilistic world than what might be perceived.
30:00 This perfectly explains the crazy fast progress we have been seeing in AI over the last few months.
not sure how his well being is today but he would be an amazing comeback guest with all the ai stuff happening
He’s now predicting biological immortality in like 7 years… it sounds pretty wacky, but his predictions have been solid so far.
@Iannoose n. Yes, did heard that :) he had made this prediction years ago if not mistaken, in his spiritual machines book or something.. well, he might be right if we consider how Al jumped a decade in a week. As a middle aged guy, 7 years sounds fantastic 😎
@Friends ForFriends I’m 20 years old, 7 years sounds fantastic. I really hope I get to live with my mother forever, she is 57 years old. With how fast AI is progressing, 7 years sounds reasonable. But who knows, just don’t get hopes too high.
@Marash DemnikaThat's pretty shallow way of looking at it. Mortality is a blessing, but yeah, if someone wants to live forever... why not?
Is not really immortality it is more an state of Amortality. You will be able to maintain alive but accidents still will happen hahaha
Whenever I'm feeling negative about the future, I can always depend on Ray Kurzweil and his many charts to remind myself that the data says everything is always getting better ;)
wonderful podcast - thx Lex and Ray
You are such a gem Lex. Thank you for conducting these priceless interviews!
I feel like Lex had more fun with interview than with certain others.
I feel like Lex really connected with Ray in this interview...especially when he asked him if he missed his father etc...a very nice interview, with some profound responses from Ray....Really enjoyed it.👍
Very chill smart guy. I love his ideas. Great conversation. Things are moving so fast in the AI world, this video was 6 months ago, and he mentions 2029 as the year we develop AGI--I wonder with GPT-4 and the like, whether he still feels that year will stick. To me, it feels like a solid guesstimation of when true AGI is born.
If AGI will happen in 2029, what is the singularity moment of the 2040s??
Elon Musk says AGI it's coming this year
@Erik Serrano
ANI: 2022 (Artificial Narrow Intelligence)
AGI: 2029 (Artificial General Intelligence)
ASI: 2045 (Artificial Super Intelligence) The Singularity.
That's "The Singularity Timelapse".
@Erik Serrano According to the law of accelerating returns extrapolation of computing power, in 2045 AD, it will cost 1000 $ to obtain computing power greater than that of all human brains combined. That's the moment.
Ray Kurzweil has been my idle since 2007 book The singularity is near: when humans transcend biology.
nothing to lie that book changed my life and made me realize what's possible then, and where the future was headed even beyond now today!
1:13:00 in - Copyright issues for REPLICANTS?! - mind BLOWN by this whole talk... WOW!! LEX, this is ONE of THE BEST interviews on this subject I've ever listened to! - Your questions at the end were absolutely AMAZING!!